CECAN hosted a seminar at BEIS on 11th July, with Helen Wilkinson of Risk Solutions and Harry Walton of the Environment Agency talking about the use of dependency modelling to support evaluation in complex environments.
In particular the focus was on the work that Risk Solutions and the EA have been doing together on understanding and quantifying the value of flood risk management activities.
The ‘theory of change’ evaluation strategy (described in the Magenta book) was developed to help tackle evaluation of complex multi-level, multi-intervention initiatives.
Elements of theory of change mapping are now widely used to both plan and evaluate new initiatives. However, the approach has been criticized for being too ‘linear’ to effectively reflect the complexity inherent in many programmes or situations.