Dynamic Pattern Synthesis (DPS) is a new mixed method designed by Philip Haynes that seeks to maximise the advantages of Cluster Analysis and Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) to search for dynamic patterns in data.
past event
What Works at the Nexus? A Thought Provoking Seminar from Professor James Wilsdon
The CECAN team would like to extend thanks to Professor James Wilsdon from the University of Sheffield for his discussions on ‘What works at the Nexus’ on 25th January 2017.
CECAN Conference: Sustainability in Turbulent Times
These are turbulent times in which to advance sustainable development. Environmental and social challenges, encapsulated in the United Nation’s Global Goals, are as pressing as ever, but the political, regulatory and funding landscape is changing rapidly, creating new uncertainties and opportunities.
CECAN Webinar: Realist Methodology for Complexity-Mindful Evaluations in the Food, Energy, Water and Climate Sectors
Many approaches to addressing complexity in evaluation design are burgeoning. In part this is in response to the inadequacy of ‘complexity-thin’ approaches to supporting solutions to entrenched and evolving problems. A second factor is witnessing new complex problems emerging with radical changes in society and sectors.
CECAN Seminar: Addressing Complexity in Nexus Issues – A Case-Based Approach to Evaluation Research
Drawing upon two recent studies – one on health trajectories and the other on grid reliability – Brian will demonstrate how evaluation researchers can use case-based complexity to more effectively model nexus issues across time/space.
CECAN Short Course: Getting to Grips with Wicked Issues Using Exploratory Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA)
At the end of this course you should be able to: Understand the value of systematic comparison as a way of exploring multiple and complex causation, be able to start using binary QCA as a mode of exploration of appropriate information / data and know the character of the various forms of QCA and be able to assess their value to you in confronting problems in causation and evaluation.
CECAN Short Course: Evaluating Complex Interventions with Process Tracing and Bayesian Updating
CECAN Short Course: Evaluating Complex Interventions with Process Tracing and Bayesian Updating
CECAN Seminar: What Works at the Nexus? Evidence, Policy and the Prospects for Transdisciplinary Research
At all levels of government, the ecosystem of institutions and individuals engaged in expert advice and evidence-informed policymaking is more diverse than ever before.
Agriculture Fit For A Complex World
To say that we live in a complex world is, in a very general sense, rather banal and uninteresting being neither particularly illuminating nor especially profound. But, scratch beneath the surface, and an acknowledgement of that complexity can be revelatory.
CECAN Seminar: Complexity, Power and Evidence in the UK Healthcare Sector: A Case Study of E-Health Research
The CECAN team would like to extend thanks to Professor Trish Greenhalgh from the University of Oxford, who kindly gave an energetic, thought provoking and highly logical seminar on evaluating e-health research.
Why We Need Network Analysis to Understand the Future of Economics
Network analysis is the method of the future. That is not only – certainly not primarily – because we are ever more connected in some superficial social-media driven internet sort of way. All of that may be fascinating (and certainly can be analysed using network analysis), but it is not fundamental to our existence as humans – we existed before Facebook, we will exist after it is gone
CECAN Complexity in Evaluation Workshop: What we Did and What we Learned
The first of two blogs following this event, from the perspective of the lead facilitator, Dr Paul Brand
Why Carry Out Economic Evaluation?
I have only recently joined the small economic research consultancy Simetrica. Before this I spent 16 years in the Government Economic Service, starting as an economic advisor in DTI in 2000 (now known as BEIS). I first worked on employment policy and one of my main tasks was to produce Impact Assessments for new employment regulation using the tools of Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA).
Access to Data is Crucial
CECAN is exploring how evaluation of policy can better inform the impact those policies have and assess the extent to which these have been successful. In order to do this, access to data is crucial, yet can at times be problematic. CECAN’s Knowledge Integrator, Candice Howarth met Emma Uprichard and Robert MacKay from the Centre and based at the University of Warwick and asked them over a series of emails to explain what the implications of some of these challenges are.
Aligning Policy and Evidence for the Age of Complexity
As the world changes in complex and unpredictable ways, Government is changing too. As it does so, the need grows for policy-making and the evidence that informs it to be alive and responsive to the increasing pervasiveness of complexity. In public service systems the increase in complexity often means that no single institution is ever ‘in charge’ or has direct control over how changes unfold.
Complexity High on the Agenda at the EES 2016 Biannual Conference
Maastricht was the location of this year’s European Evaluation Society (EES) conference over a sunny week in late September. At the end of first day, we were treated to a civic reception in the building in which the Maastricht treaty was signed in 1992, bringing up mixed emotions for some of us.
CECAN Seminar: Complexity, Power and Evidence in the UK Healthcare Sector – A Case Study of E-Health Research
Linear models of research and research impact are being replaced in the social sciences with dynamic ones that emphasise the complexity of interactions and non-linear chains of causation.
Likelihoods
The scope of the CECAN project runs wide as well as deep; complexity in the energy, water, environment and food domain would most immediately be thought to arise from the physical systems at the nexus core. Yes, complexity in weather systems, biological populations spring quickly and easily to mind as do the ‘user level’ human interactions with these systems and other local and global physical systems.
Micro-Simulation Seminar from Professor Peter Davis
Huge thanks to Professor Peter Davis who gave an engaging, humorous and thought provoking seminar at BEIS in Whitehall, on micro-simulation techniques for policy making.
Is Policy Evaluation Fit For Purpose?
By Roger Highfield, Director of External Affairs of the Science Museum, member of the Royal Society’s Science Policy Advisory Group. To tackle climate change, ecosystem destruction and the many daunting issues facing humanity we need not only to draw on science and engineering but also develop policies that can change the behaviour of 7.5 billion people.
CECAN Launch Event: Policy Evaluation For A Complex World
CECAN’s team were thrilled to host their official launch event at St Martin in the Fields Hall, London on 13th September 2016.
CEP Undertaking Meta-Evaluation of Past Policy Evaluations
As part of CEP’s role as a partner in CECAN, CEP is carrying out a meta-evaluation of a sample of the evaluation projects it has undertaken over the last 10 years.
Introducing Adam Hejnowicz – New Postdoc Researcher at University of York
Introducing the newest member of the CECAN team based at The University of York – Adam Hejnowicz has joined as a CECAN postdoctoral researcher.
Agent Based Modelling Course a Great Success
Professor Nigel Gilbert, Dr Lynne Hamill and Nicolas Payette delivered an intensive one day workshop in Agent Based Modelling, to a group of economists from UK Government on 3rd August.
CECAN Seminar: Evaluating Policy Scenarios with Micro-Simulation
As practitioners of “public social science” we all wish to contribute to the evaluation and development of policy.
CECAN Seminar: Policy Making Using Modelling in a Complex World
How do we use policy modelling in a complex world? Professor Bruce Edmonds explored this challenging question in CECAN’s second seminar on 18th July.
After the Brexit vote: What Next for the UK’s Environment?
This post is by Andy Jordan, Charlotte Burns and Viviane Gravey. They recently co-led an expert reviewof the environmental implications of Brexit funded by the UK in a Changing Europe Initiative.
CECAN Seminar: Revaluation – Measuring Paradigm Shift
23rd June 2016 will go down in history as a very difficult day in Westminster – Brexit Day. Nonetheless, Andrew Darnton and Andrew Harrison boldly produced an engaging and thought provoking complexity seminar in Whitehall.
How Should Academics Interact with Policy Makers? Lessons on Building a Long-term Advocacy Strategy
What can academics learn from how civil society organisations and NGOs approach policy impact? Julia Himmrich argues that academics have a lot to gain from embracing the practices of long-term advocacy. Advocacy is about establishing relationships and creating a community of experts both in and outside of government who can give informed input on policies.
Reflections on Language and Complexity
When I turned up at the CECAN Evaluation and Complexity workshop this week it was my first day back at work after a holiday in Crete, an experience that I thought might have put me in the right frame of mind. Being the non-scientist in a roomful of scientists often seems like being in a foreign country where I only speak a few words of the language.